USD/CHF: wave analysis

The pair may fall.

On the daily chart, an upward correction of the higher level developed as the second wave (2), and the formation of the third wave (3) started. Now, the formation of the third wave of the lower level iii of 1 of (3) has started, within which the first wave (i) of iii has formed as a diagonal. If the assumption is correct, after the end of the local correction (ii) of iii the pair will fall to the levels of 0.9717–0.9656. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.0027.

Main scenario

Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 1.0027 with the targets at 0.9717–0.9656. Implementation period: 7 days and more.

Alternative scenario

The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.0027 will let the pair grow to the levels of 1.0121–1.0230.

Scenario

Timeframe Weekly
Recommendation SELL
Entry Point 0.9893
Take Profit 0.9717, 0.9656
Stop Loss 1.0027
Key Levels 0.9656, 0.9717, 1.0027, 1.0121, 1.0230

Alternative scenario

Recommendation BUY STOP
Entry Point 1.0030
Take Profit 1.0121, 1.0230
Stop Loss 1.0000
Key Levels 0.9656, 0.9717, 1.0027, 1.0121, 1.0230